APEP vs AE Mesogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
DOX
2 - 1
APE
47%
23%
31%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
APE
3 - 0
ENT
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
APE
0 - 5
OMO
7%
17%
76%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
AEK
3 - 1
APE
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
APE
0 - 2
ETH
30%
25%
44%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
AE Mesogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
MES
2 - 2
MEA
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
DOX
1 - 0
MES
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |