Apeldoorn CSV vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DOV
3 - 0
APE
50%
23%
26%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
APE
3 - 0
ASV
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ORA
0 - 4
APE
31%
22%
47%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
APE
0 - 5
AZS
42%
25%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ACV
2 - 1
APE
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
STA
5 - 0
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
DOV
48%
22%
31%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
URK
2 - 1
EXC
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
4 - 3
SDV
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
VVO
3 - 2
EXC
44%
23%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |