Apeldoorn CSV vs Ajax Amateurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
15º
14º
41
2º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
APE
1 - 2
DET
35%
22%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HUI
4 - 1
APE
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
APE
2 - 0
HZV
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DHS
2 - 2
APE
61%
19%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
APE
3 - 2
FLE
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 2
SDV
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DET
1 - 3
AJA
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 5
EEM
35%
24%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HUI
0 - 0
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 0
GEN
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |