Chions vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CLO
1 - 0
CHI
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
SGS
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LUI
3 - 1
CHI
21%
21%
59%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
ACE
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
DEL
0 - 1
CHI
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MES
1 - 1
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 0
MES
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MES
0 - 0
VIG
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MON
0 - 2
MES
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 1
MES
23%
21%
56%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |