Chions vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
67.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
VIG
0 - 3
CHI
52%
22%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
CAL
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CJA
3 - 4
CHI
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CHI
5 - 1
LUI
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 1
UAR
11%
16%
74%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MES
2 - 2
SDA
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
MES
10%
20%
71%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
DEL
0 - 2
MES
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CLO
0 - 0
MES
14%
21%
66%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
ABN
2 - 2
MES
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |