Aparecidense vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 0
APA
38%
24%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
CRA
3 - 1
APA
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
APA
1 - 1
GOI
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
GIO
1 - 0
APA
22%
22%
56%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ANA
1 - 2
APA
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 0
GOI
22%
25%
54%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
CEA
2 - 0
VIL
50%
24%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 1
PAU
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
GRE
0 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
VIL
4 - 1
CRI
43%
25%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |