Aparecidense vs União Rondonópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
18%
23%
60%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
APA
1 - 1
INH
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
APA
3 - 0
JAT
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
APA
1 - 0
OVD
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 28 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
URO
0 - 1
LTD
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LUV
0 - 3
URO
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
URO
3 - 0
UAC
66%
20%
13%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
URO
1 - 0
ACA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
PRI
3 - 0
URO
9%
16%
76%
|
56 | 17 | 39 | -1 |