Aparecidense vs Trindade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
APA
0 - 0
ANA
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
GOI
2 - 3
APA
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
APA
4 - 0
CNO
70%
18%
11%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
APA
2 - 0
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 1
TRI
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 0
ATL
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 2
TRI
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 1
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
APA
2 - 0
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |