Aparecidense vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
CUI
2 - 1
APA
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
APA
7 - 0
AQU
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
ANA
1 - 1
APA
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
APA
2 - 3
MIR
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 1
APA
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 5
CAC
68%
18%
15%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 2
IPO
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CAI
6 - 1
JAR
17%
19%
64%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -3 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 2
ATB
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CRA
3 - 0
JAR
18%
19%
63%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -2 |