Aparecidense vs Morrinhos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 1
APA
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
APA
2 - 0
INH
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
2 - 1
APA
11%
21%
68%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
APA
17%
24%
60%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
APA
1 - 0
GOI
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CRA
1 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 0
GOI
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 0
GRE
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
2 - 1
MOR
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
INH
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |