Aparecidense vs Itumbiara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
APA
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 0
APA
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
TRI
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
APA
2 - 0
OPE
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
APA
47%
28%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 3
ATL
20%
24%
55%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
0 - 0
ANA
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GOI
0 - 1
ITU
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 0
CRA
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 2
ITU
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |