Aparecidense vs Itumbiara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 1
APA
39%
25%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
APA
2 - 1
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 2
APA
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
APA
0 - 0
ATL
14%
18%
68%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 0
APA
82%
13%
6%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 5
VIL
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 2
ANA
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
ITU
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 0
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
ITU
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |