Aparecidense vs Gremio Anapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 2
APA
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
APA
0 - 0
ATL
14%
18%
68%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 0
APA
82%
13%
6%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
APA
3 - 1
CRA
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
APA
1 - 1
RIO
44%
23%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
RIO
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 0
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRE
40%
25%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
ANA
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 3
GOI
9%
15%
75%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |