Aparecidense vs Goianésia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
APA
3 - 0
BRA
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
APA
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
APA
1 - 4
GOI
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 2
APA
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
APA
2 - 1
ANA
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
GOI
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
GOI
3 - 1
AGU
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 0
GOI
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
GOI
0 - 3
ATL
12%
17%
71%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
GOI
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |