Goiano 1 Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Aparecidense vs Anápolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
APA
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GOI
0 - 1
APA
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
APA
1 - 1
GIO
73%
16%
11%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
JAT
1 - 4
APA
13%
20%
68%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
APA
3 - 1
MOR
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
ANA
10%
17%
73%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ANA
4 - 0
JAT
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 0
TOM
19%
24%
57%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
ANA
14%
21%
65%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
ANA
4 - 0
IPO
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |