Aparecidense vs Anápolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
APA
1 - 1
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
APA
65%
22%
14%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
IPO
1 - 1
APA
29%
28%
44%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
CUI
3 - 1
APA
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
APA
2 - 0
ANA
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ANA
2 - 0
ITU
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
ANA
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ANA
3 - 1
ANA
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ANA
1 - 2
ATL
12%
20%
68%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
ANA
1 - 1
GOI
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |