Aparecidense vs Anápolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 0
APA
19%
22%
58%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ITU
0 - 1
APA
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 1
APA
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
APA
0 - 2
GOI
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
APA
2 - 0
CRA
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 0
ATL
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 0
ANA
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
ANA
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 0
ANA
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 1
APA
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |