Aparecidense vs Anápolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
APA
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GOI
2 - 0
APA
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
APA
0 - 0
TRI
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 1
APA
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 0
APA
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 1
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 0
GOI
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
ANA
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 3
ANA
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 0
APA
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |