Aparecida GO vs Umuarama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecida GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 3
APA
59%
21%
21%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2013 |
GOI
4 - 0
APA
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
APA
2 - 4
CNO
18%
20%
62%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
APA
2 - 3
IPO
16%
19%
64%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
MIN
4 - 3
APA
81%
13%
5%
|
16 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Umuarama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 3
APA
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
CNO
3 - 0
UMU
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 0
MOR
16%
20%
64%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | +9 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
UMU
2 - 3
GOI
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
IPO
3 - 2
UMU
77%
15%
8%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |