APAFUT vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
78.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APAFUT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
APA
4 - 0
CAC
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
PRS
2 - 3
APA
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 0
APA
79%
14%
6%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
APA
1 - 1
PRS
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
CAX
13%
21%
67%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | +3 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 0
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 3
YPI
55%
24%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
CAX
72%
20%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MOG
1 - 2
JUV
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |