Aorai vs Manu Ura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
49.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aorai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
RON
3 - 1
AOR
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AOR
1 - 2
PIR
22%
19%
60%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
DRA
0 - 1
AOR
72%
15%
13%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TEF
4 - 0
AOR
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Manu Ura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TEF
5 - 1
MAN
61%
18%
20%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DRA
4 - 1
MAN
41%
21%
37%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PIR
4 - 3
MAN
61%
18%
21%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
RON
1 - 3
MAN
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 1
RON
53%
22%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |