Aoiz vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
HAR
0 - 3
AOI
60%
24%
17%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
AOI
0 - 2
OBE
36%
29%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CDB
0 - 0
AOI
38%
28%
34%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
AOI
2 - 0
CDI
71%
19%
10%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ALU
1 - 0
AOI
40%
26%
34%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
UDM
4 - 1
RIV
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
VAL
4 - 0
UDM
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
UDM
0 - 1
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
TUD
1 - 1
UDM
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
UDM
1 - 2
HAR
37%
26%
37%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |