Aoiz vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
18%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
VAL
4 - 2
AOI
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
AOI
2 - 1
AGO
51%
27%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
MUR
0 - 0
AOI
24%
25%
52%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
AOI
0 - 0
LOU
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
ALB
0 - 1
AOI
21%
27%
52%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ALU
1 - 0
ALB
57%
24%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
CDU
3 - 1
ALU
45%
26%
30%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ALU
2 - 1
BUR
49%
26%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
ALU
38%
28%
34%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ALU
3 - 1
SMC
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |