Ellopiakos vs Aris Petroupolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
62.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
9º
17º
11º
60
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
48 | 48 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 20 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 11 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ellopiakos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AAP
0 - 1
EPK
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
EPK
3 - 1
PRO
11%
19%
70%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | +9 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
APM
2 - 1
EPK
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ETH
3 - 1
EPK
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
EPK
1 - 2
AAO
10%
16%
74%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Petroupolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ZON
1 - 1
ASP
39%
23%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ASP
2 - 1
APS
19%
25%
56%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
ASP
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ANK
0 - 0
ASP
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 1
PAN
19%
25%
56%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |