Anzio vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
55.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+137%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
POL
1 - 1
ANZ
22%
20%
57%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
ANZ
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ANZ
0 - 0
AVH
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SSE
2 - 1
ANZ
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ANZ
2 - 0
RPO
36%
23%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 1
FBC
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AVH
1 - 1
NOC
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 2
GEL
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 3
NOC
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 2
NAR
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |