Anzio vs Civitavecchia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
ANZ
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ANZ
1 - 4
CAS
25%
24%
52%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BUD
0 - 2
ANZ
50%
24%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ANZ
0 - 1
SAN
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 0
ANZ
32%
24%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
1 - 0
SAR
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
OST
3 - 0
CIV
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
2 - 2
ARZ
39%
25%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUP
2 - 2
CIV
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
0 - 2
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |