Antofagasta vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
IQU
0 - 4
ANT
29%
25%
45%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ANT
2 - 3
UCO
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
DLS
0 - 1
ANT
19%
25%
57%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ANT
2 - 1
COQ
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 0
ACS
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
1 - 2
CUR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 2
SWA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
OHI
1 - 2
UCO
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +2 |