Antofagasta vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 1
ANT
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ANT
2 - 1
LOT
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
ANT
3 - 1
HUA
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 0
ANT
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ANT
1 - 1
PUE
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
UCO
0 - 0
OHI
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
COL
3 - 0
UCO
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 1
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 3
UCO
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 3
ACS
38%
25%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |