Antofagasta vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
PUE
3 - 1
ANT
40%
26%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ANT
0 - 1
CSL
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ANT
3 - 1
NUB
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
ANT
1 - 1
UCH
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
PAL
4 - 1
ANT
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 1
COB
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
DLS
1 - 0
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 3
HUA
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ACS
0 - 0
UCO
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 4
UCO
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |