Alumnos D. vs Beniparrell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumnos D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
5 - 1
ANT
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ANT
2 - 0
OLY
66%
18%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
APO
0 - 2
ANT
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Beniparrell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
5 - 3
SIL
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PIC
0 - 1
BEN
27%
23%
50%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
4 - 2
XIR
56%
21%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +2 |