Alumnos D. vs Macastre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumnos D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 1
ANT
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ANT
1 - 1
CHI
29%
21%
49%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 1
GOD
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 2
ANT
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ANT
3 - 1
CIU
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Macastre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 2
CHI
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GOD
3 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 4
CIU
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
QUA
3 - 1
MAC
69%
16%
15%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 3
REQ
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |