Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
ATG
0 - 1
EST
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ATG
2 - 0
PRI
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
CUW
3 - 0
ATG
23%
23%
55%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
ATG
5 - 1
GRD
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 1
ATG
21%
22%
58%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BMU
2 - 3
BRB
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
GRD
1 - 2
BMU
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
GRD
2 - 2
BMU
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BMU
2 - 4
CAN
13%
21%
65%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BMU
0 - 1
DOM
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |