Antigua GFC vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SPD
2 - 0
ANT
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ANT
0 - 0
AYU
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PUE
3 - 1
ANT
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
IZT
2 - 0
ANT
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ANT
1 - 1
AUR
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NUE
1 - 1
IZT
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 0
NUE
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NUE
2 - 1
LAG
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NUE
1 - 1
COA
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
COA
1 - 1
NUE
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |