Antigua GFC vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TOR
4 - 2
ANT
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 2
MIX
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
IZT
1 - 1
ANT
35%
26%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 1
AUR
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 0
ESC
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
NUE
2 - 1
SPD
27%
25%
49%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
COA
1 - 0
NUE
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NUE
1 - 3
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ESC
2 - 0
NUE
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 0
NUE
69%
20%
12%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |