Anstey Nomads vs Whitchurch Alport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anstey Nomads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
ANN
2 - 0
MEL
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ANN
2 - 0
ECF
88%
9%
3%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ANN
5 - 2
SKE
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 2
ANN
7%
13%
80%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 3
ANN
10%
14%
76%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Whitchurch Alport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
WHI
21%
19%
60%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WHI
1 - 0
WOL
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OUF
1 - 2
WHI
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
WHI
1 - 0
SOA
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WHI
3 - 3
SHT
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |