AE Mykonou vs PAO Vardas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
12º
10º
40
8º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 53 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
|
10º
|
51 | 52 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 48 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
76% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
61% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 3 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Mykonou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PAN
0 - 0
AME
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
ROD
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SYR
2 - 1
AME
18%
21%
62%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
AEP
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
AME
3 - 1
ERM
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
PAO Vardas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
ROD
0 - 0
PAO
81%
14%
6%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAO
3 - 0
AEP
29%
23%
49%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PAN
4 - 0
PAO
47%
26%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAO
3 - 2
ERM
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
PAO
0 - 3
RAF
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -2 |