Annerley vs Mitchelton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
71.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Annerley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ANN
6 - 3
WES
15%
17%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
BRK
4 - 5
ANN
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
ANN
0 - 4
UNI
28%
20%
52%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MFC
2 - 3
ANN
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
QUE
3 - 0
MIT
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 0
MIT
72%
16%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MIT
0 - 2
EAS
49%
21%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
CAP
4 - 1
MIT
19%
19%
62%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MIT
2 - 1
ALB
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |