Annagh United vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
4º
3º
34
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Annagh United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
AUN
3 - 0
DUN
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 3
AUN
19%
21%
60%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
KNO
1 - 1
AUN
16%
20%
65%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AUN
1 - 1
WAR
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
AUN
3 - 0
DER
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
INS
1 - 1
LOU
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
46%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
INS
1 - 0
HAR
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEY
1 - 4
INS
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |