Jiangxi Dingnan United vs Liaoning Tieren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
52.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
14º
7º
43
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 52 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 48 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 41 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 37 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 34 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 29 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
44% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Dingnan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
ANH
0 - 1
SHA
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CHO
2 - 1
ANH
56%
24%
19%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ANH
2 - 2
GFC
26%
28%
46%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
DUF
0 - 0
ANH
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SSF
0 - 2
ANH
10%
16%
75%
|
52 | 16 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Liaoning Tieren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
SHE
2 - 1
HFC
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SHE
2 - 1
SHU
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
QFC
1 - 3
SHE
17%
25%
58%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
SHE
7 - 1
SHE
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
RZY
0 - 2
SHE
8%
15%
77%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |