Jiangxi Dingnan United vs Shaanxi Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
14º
9º
19
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 67 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 61 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 52 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 49 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 43 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 41 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 39 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 39 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 36 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 35 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 34 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 26 |
15º
|
47.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 21 |
16º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Dingnan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
HKF
1 - 1
ANH
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
ANH
3 - 1
SDO
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SHE
1 - 1
ANH
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ANH
2 - 1
NAN
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 1
ANH
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shaanxi Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
SHU
1 - 3
SDO
30%
26%
45%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
GFC
0 - 0
SHU
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SHU
2 - 1
HFC
44%
25%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
SHU
1 - 2
YUN
5%
9%
86%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
QFC
1 - 1
SHU
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |