Jiangxi Dingnan United vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
55.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
14º
7º
29
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 52 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 48 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 41 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 37 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 34 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 29 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
44% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Dingnan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ANH
2 - 1
QFC
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 0
ANH
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SDO
0 - 0
ANH
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ANH
0 - 1
WWF
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DUF
5 - 1
ANH
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
HKF
2 - 0
SDO
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
HKF
19%
26%
55%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HKF
3 - 2
YUN
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HKF
1 - 0
CHO
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 1
HKF
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |