Angusht vs Aruan Nartkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angusht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
AVV
1 - 0
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
ANG
2 - 0
SLS
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
NEK
0 - 3
ANG
34%
27%
39%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2002 |
ANG
0 - 0
SUA
47%
27%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ANG
2 - 0
DMA
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aruan Nartkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
ARN
4 - 0
DMA
32%
27%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
ARG
1 - 2
ARN
19%
25%
56%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
ARN
3 - 2
ZHE
44%
26%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2002 |
FKM
3 - 2
ARN
40%
27%
33%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ARN
2 - 0
ZHE
34%
27%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |