Angouleme vs Cognac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
TAR
1 - 1
ANG
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
ANG
0 - 1
BLA
71%
19%
9%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
TRE
2 - 0
ANG
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ANG
1 - 1
NIO
65%
23%
13%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ROD
0 - 1
ANG
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
COG
0 - 0
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
BRI
0 - 0
COG
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
COG
0 - 1
COL
17%
23%
61%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
5 - 1
COG
45%
24%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
COG
1 - 1
SAG
36%
25%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |