Angouleme vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
14º
6º
34
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
IST
0 - 0
ANG
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 0
MOA
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
ANG
53%
27%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 0
ANG
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 2
HYE
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
HYE
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LES
1 - 4
BER
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
SAI
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MGG
2 - 0
BER
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
JUR
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |