Angouleme vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
REI
2 - 0
ANG
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
ANG
1 - 0
REN
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
SOC
3 - 0
ANG
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
ANG
1 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
ANG
3 - 1
VIT
47%
21%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
BAS
1 - 0
NAN
42%
25%
32%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1970 |
SED
5 - 1
BAS
60%
21%
20%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
BAS
0 - 2
ASN
60%
22%
17%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
AJA
6 - 1
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
BAS
4 - 2
ASS
26%
21%
53%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |