Angola vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 0
NAM
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 2
MAR
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 1
CPV
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 4
MLI
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
VEN
0 - 0
ANG
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
GUI
1 - 2
CIV
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BFA
4 - 2
GUI
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
CMR
3 - 1
GUI
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
GAB
3 - 3
GUI
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
GUI
3 - 2
KEN
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |