Angola vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 2
MAR
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 1
CPV
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 4
MLI
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
VEN
0 - 0
ANG
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ANG
3 - 1
NIG
75%
16%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
LBN
1 - 1
NAM
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NAM
0 - 0
BOT
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
NAM
4 - 2
ZIM
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
KEN
1 - 0
NAM
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
MWI
0 - 1
NAM
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |