Angola vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
RSA
2 - 0
ANG
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 0
CMR
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ANG
2 - 1
MLT
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ANG
1 - 1
CPV
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ANG
1 - 1
SEN
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
CGO
0 - 0
PRK
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
CGO
69%
21%
10%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SDN
2 - 0
CGO
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CGO
1 - 0
MLI
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
CGO
2 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | +1 |