CE Andratx vs Penya Independent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
1º
56
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
76.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
89% | 10% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11% | 90% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Andratx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SJO
1 - 3
AND
7%
15%
78%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AND
7 - 0
SLL
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LLO
1 - 0
AND
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AND
5 - 0
SNF
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
AND
12%
18%
70%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PIN
5 - 0
SLL
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SNF
1 - 0
PIN
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PIN
4 - 1
BNS
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PBL
1 - 1
PIN
57%
19%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 0
POR
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |