CE Andratx vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
1º
37
1º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
76.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
89% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Andratx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BNS
1 - 3
AND
8%
18%
74%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AND
1 - 1
CON
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PBL
2 - 2
AND
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AND
5 - 2
JOR
80%
14%
7%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
AND
13%
20%
68%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CON
3 - 0
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
JOR
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MNC
1 - 0
MER
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
CLL
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PIN
2 - 0
MER
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |